November 5th, 2008
Good for Obama.
Good for the Senate.
But what's this fly in my ointment? Props 1A, 2, 3, 8, and 12 passed?!?!?!? Bonds aren't free money, people. =(
Friends -- I ask you:
What do you think is going to happen over the next 4 years?
What do you expect Obama's administration to accomplish?
Do you think the economy will right itself in the next 4 years?
What problems is Russia going to cause over the next 4 years?
Will the war in Iraq end in the next 4 years?
What about Afghanistan?
Do you expect politics to be less partisan over the next 4 years?
Will we be better off 4 years from now?
My responses follow in a comment.
What do you see happening in terms of "trade wars"?
Obama has specifically said that we need to "review" NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) and that we should impose tariffs to enforce "fair trade." Both these measures would hurt American consumers and foreign producers; because the countries most affected by "fair trade" are poor countries, it would hurt the foreign producers greatly. Now, first of all the countries we raise tariff walls against will probably retaliate in like wise, raising tariff walls of their own against us. Secondly, impoverishing the foreign producers means that they will have less dollars to buy our products. The result: a choking-off of international trade, and consequent bad effects on our economy. See "Smoot-Hawley Tariff" for a historical analogue.
What rights do you expect to see taken away?
The First Amendment would be greatly impaired by "hate speech" and "balance" laws. Obama is also very likely to try and reduce the protections of the Second Amendment.
Do you expect foreign policy disasters other than failing to contain Russia's ambitions and giving Iraq over to the Islamists?
Sure. To begin with, losing Iraq to the Islamists would put Iran in a position to dominate the whole Persian Gulf; the next war there would probably be in defense of another Gulf country (probably Kuwait or Saudi Arabia) and would probably require recapturing Iraq at some point anyway. This is if Iran doesn't just start a nuclear war with Israel.
Obama has also more or less committed himself to a hard line on Pakistan, while simultaneously committing himself to deep military cuts. Pakistan is a nuclear power with formidable armed forces: I think it's obvious how that policy combination could go very wrong.
Then there's Chavez in Venezuela, darling of the Left Democrats (Obama's base). The Russians are offering to sell him a nuclear reactor, which would put him in a position to develop nuclear weapons. How well would Obama defend America's interests against someone he probably thinks of as one of the "good guys?"
Looking weak in general emboldens all potential enemies. What about China -- will China feel that it can get away with an attack on Taiwan? Perhaps Libya will restart its nuclear weapons programs. Etc. etc.
If Obama doesn't hit the ground running with a fairly hard line internationally -- which seems improbable -- America's enemies are very likely to pile on him.
I think banning assault rifles might be a good idea, if for no other reason than that when the ban expired, the easy access to assault rifles fueled drug-traffic related murder across the border in Mexico and undoubtedly led to many lives lost. I understand the whole Second Amendment angle, but often wonder how far it goes (i.e. could a private citizen legally own nuclear warheads?)